All posts by MarketsMuse Staff Reporter

The Skew is The Clue: VIX Spread Widens

Even if the WSJ is a bit slow on the uptick re: noticing the recent anomaly in VIX skew volatility that we commented on last week, Chris Dieterich’s WSJ weekend story, “Surge in FIX Futures Volumes Driven By Bigger Risk Appetites” makes note of the fact that last month’s daily trading volume of VIX futures on the CBOE’s Volatility Index was the second highest on record, despite what some trading desks viewed as lackluster overall volumes.

More interesting than the volume spike is the gap between the VIX and near-term futures; the April contract is up 2.2% over the last month and on Friday ended at 23.65. The VIX index closed at 17.29, up 0.2% on the day.

On its face, strategists said this unusually wide gap appears to be a warning sign of an increase in market volatility ahead, as traders pay a higher premium to protect against risk further out. Historically, when VIX futures trade this much above the VIX, a modest rise in stocks follows. That has happened 36 times since 2004, and, on average, the S&P 500 traded about 1% higher 50 days after the initial signal, according to data from Schaeffer’s Investment Research.

See the full article here:

BlackRock Bulks Up in Europe: Expanding “ETP Education” Campaign

However much the use of ETF and ETP products in Euro-Land continues to grow,  Global ETF Issuer iShares knows that it can grow faster and bigger.

Consistent with parent company BlackRock Inc.’s focus on staying in front of the pack, and as reported by IndexUniverseEU staff, iShares has recently introduced a “due diligence tool” aimed at helping professional investors obtain granular information about its European exchange-traded products.

According to iShares’ head of EMEA sales, David Gardner, “Our new “Know Your ETP” tool offers a robust framework, and clear standardised processes by which institutional investors can arrive an informed decision more effectively.”

On an objective note, ETF industry veteran Mike McCoy, a senior member of ETF liquidity aggregator WallachBeth Capital, who recently landed on the docks of London to help launch his firm’s new Euro ETF execution desk (in joint-venture with UK-based brokerage NSBO), said, “BlackRock certainly knows that the ‘educating your customer rule’ is integral to the evolution of ETF embracement. As quickly as the market is growing, its critical to maintain the education momentum with the spectrum of investors, however sophisticated they might be.”

For the complete story, click on the IU logo

Vanguard Cuts Expense Fee on 6 Big ETFs-Cheap access to Emerging Markets Just Got Cheaper

Courtesy of InvestmentNews reporter Jason Kephart.

 

Vanguard Group, one of the world’s biggest issuers of ETFs, has announced they’re cutting the fees on 6 funds, including the world’s 3rd largest ETF by asset size, the $54 billion, EMG flagship “Vanguard MSCI Emerging Markets ETF” (VWO),  to 0.2%, a 9% reduction.

Not to let a good idea go to waste, fee reductions saving investors $15 million +/- in annual expenses will enure to the benefit of those buying the Vanguard Total World Stock ETF  (NYSE Arca: VT), the Vanguard All-World ex-U.S. ETF (VEU), the Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-U.S. Small Cap (VSS), the Vanguard Total International Stock Index (VXUS) and the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM).

Of course, there’s more to an ETF than just the expense ratio. Morningstar Inc. analyst Paul Justice said that when it comes to selecting the right fund, index-tracking and liquidity are as important, if not more so, than the expense ratio.

He added that Vanguard’s emerging-markets ETF has grown to its present size because it’s been the leader in all three of those categories for the longest period of time.”

To read the full article from InvestmentNews, click here

ETF Market Mavens March Madness Event-City of Brotherly Love

Expect more than lots of brotherly love networking at the Philadelphia Ritz-Carlton March 19-20, when ETF market mavens gather  to attend the InsideIndexing forum “Risk, Return & Indexing Strategies.”

An early look at the menu indicates a few tasty treats will be served up by a formidable group of moderators and industry panelists who will be peeling back the onion layers  covering fixed income ETFs, how to choose the ETF in every asset class,  and a fav topic “Are arbitrageurs stealing your returns?”

We can’t help but wonder what mutual fund titan and ETF anti-Christ John Bogle will be saying to those that attend, but its always worth the price of entry to hear him opine (the fact that food and a cocktail reception are included in the registration fee makes it a must-attend for those in the tri-state region).

Its great to notice the agenda also includes a Live-Market ETF Trading Session, during which the industry’s top expert brokers will use 40-ft screens to display live market quotes and trading floor video feeds to illustrate how they achieve best execution for their respective clients.

We’re not getting a commish for promoting this event, so feel free to click the program logo below to register 🙂

Bloomberg LP Touches ETF Hot Button: Where’s the Beef ?

Bloomberg LP's Catherine Cowdery Feb 29 Interview w WallachBeth Capital's Andy McOrmond

For those gray-bearded former floor brokers who would gallop into an exchange specialist’s trading pit and shout, “I’ll buy what’s offered on the screen!”,  and were often dismayed when the specialist yelled back,  “Go ahead, trade with the screen..but I don’t have that offer anymore!”– you won’t be surprised to know that today’s “screen-based markets”, especially for the majority of ETF products, are not the panacea that electronic market promoters would have you believe.

Beauty is not in the eye of the beholder, if one expects the ‘screen’ to be displaying the real liquidity that’s available.

To underscore that point, we’ve excerpted 2 minutes from the Catherine Cowdery and Pimm Fox Feb 29, Bloomberg Radio 20-minute podcast interview with ETF market specialist Andy McOrmond, the co-head of ETF Trading for liquidity aggregator WallachBeth Capital.

Before you (or after) you click on the logo above, what the extracted clip doesn’t include are the following and particularly poignant points that McOrmond made in the interview when speaking to the topic of ETF market liquidity and transparency of trading screens. Continue reading

Social Media ETF: Is this a tipping point

In a Nov 15 story from CNN: the prospects for social media ETF “SOCL” were pretty much slammed.

“NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — A social media exchange-traded fund has made its debut, but experts say to hold off before you “like” and “+1″ it to share it with all of your friends.

While the Global X Social Media ETF (SOCL), which began trading Tuesday at $14.98 per share, includes buzzworthy initial public offerings Groupon (GRPN), LinkedIn (LNKD), and Pandora (P), it lacks the world’s two rock star social media platforms since they have yet to go public: Facebook and Twitter.

“ETF and mutual fund providers have a habit of launching funds that they think will collect money from investors, but not necessarily make money for investors,” said Rick Ferri, founder of Portfolio Solutions and author of The ETF Book. “And I think this might be one of those ETFs.”

That’s why Ferri and other experts are dismissing the investment value of the ETF, calling it “premature” and a “gimmick” that’s capitalizing on the popularity of social media companies even though their record of generating profits is erratic.

“I don’t think the firms in this ETF are great proxies for the potential performance of Facebook and Twitter, and I think investors will be disappointed,” said Christian Magoon, CEO of Magoon Capital and an ETF industry consultant…”

Fast-forward a few months, and the above observations are [arguably] still accurate, if only judging by today’s chart:

But that’s not the point of this particular post, particularly when considering this ETF is still in its infancy, and regardless of whether this publication agrees or disagrees with above-noted observations.

The more poignant point is the inroads that social media applications are making within the financial services ecosystem. We’ve commented on this topic in the past (and will continue to!)…but we wanted to share a nice video clip that we just tripped over, courtesy of InvestmentNews’ coverage of a recent TD Ameritrade Conference.

This is Not to promote TD (unless they want to sign up as an advertiser on this site), but the video clip is worth watching if you’re an RIA, a consultant, or even if you’re a broker dealer. More…

[brightcove vid=1450098930001&exp=1079049310&w=300&h=225]

ETF Transparency: Thinly-Traded Does Not Mean Illiquid-Says Leading ETF Issuer

Unbeknownst to too many who traffic in ETFs, the phrases “thinly-traded” and “illiquid” are far from synonymous.

Yes, of the now 1300+ exchange-traded funds, 2/3 of the total ETF trading volume is attributed to the top 25 “go-go names.” But, whether you’re an RIA, a corporate treasurer, a hedge fund manager, or a pension fund administrator, if your investment and/or trading decisions are predicated on what the “screen” displays, you’re not only foregoing investment opportunities that your peers are benefiting from, but you’re likely in the wrong business.

That’s the take-away from a solid white paper produced by a group that would know: Emerging Global Advisors LLC, one of the leading issuers of emerging market ETF products.

It takes more than moxy for a firm that feeds products into the exchange-traded marketplace to observe that trading screens (which aggregate bids and offers scrapped from the assortment of regulated exchanges) are often less than transparent.

To drive this point home, the white paper’s leading shout out: “The Screen Market is Not the Market.”

Continue reading

Four New Brent Crude ETPs

ETF Securities (ETFS) has expanded its Brent Crude exchange traded products offering against a background of rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The issuer unveiled four ETPs on the London Stock Exchange, as Brent Crude’s importance as the new global benchmark for oil rises. West Texas Intermediate has been beset with local logistical issues that have seen it move to a significant discount to Brent.

The range of ETPs provide investors with long, leveraged, short and forward exposures to the Brent oil price and complement its existing offering of 1-month, 1-year, 2-year and 3-year exposures.

In a recent poll by ETFS, three quarters of respondents said they expected tensions in the Middle East to escalate while two thirds said this would occur within the first half of this year. The vast majority of these respondents also said this would impact their asset allocation decisions.

The ETFS Brent Crude oil ETPs are issued by ETFS Commodity Securities Limited, a Jersey-based special purpose vehicle.

The vehicles track the performance of the Brent Crude sub-indices of the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index, via fully funded collateralised swaps.

Exposure to Brent Crude is obtained via multiple swap counterparties, including UBS and Bank of America Merrill Lynch acting through Merrill Lynch Commodities.

Despite Rally, US Market Lags List of 35 Best Global ETF Markets

We just scored the most recent trading desk comments courtesy of   WallachBeth Capital’s Chris Hempstead.

” Last week I took a look at YTD performance of the US Equity based ETF’s with exposure to the S&P sectors.

Today I would like to broaden that view and simply rank and look at the YTD top performing Equity based ETF’s globally.

What sparked my interest in creating this list was my curiosity to see how far down the list I needed to go before I found the top US Equity ETF. I wasn’t expecting it to be so far down the list, however I am not surprised that it was biotech for being the US market sector group which has been on the biggest tear in the US Continue reading

“Its Time To Hedge, Really!” Say Top Traders

Aside from all of the Squawk Box and Fast Money “professional traders” and “market experts” who have been on “high alert” [waiting for a correction] for the past several weeks, even the most blindsided bulls have to acknowledge that every nice move is followed by a pull  back.

When considering the past 3 months gains’ of 20% plus,  one doesn’t need to be a market historian to  know that 20% gains are soon followed by profit taking.  Tune in to this good piece.

Jon Najarian: Its Time For Protection

ProShares To Reverse-Split VIX ETF UVXY

 

Courtesy of IndexUniverse, reporting from Oliver Ludwig:

ProShares, the fund company known for its large family of inverse and leveraged ETFs, set a 1-for-6 reverse split on its now-super-popular VIX-related ETF “UVXY” to ensure that bid/ask spreads on the security don’t grow too large as a percentage of its declining share price.

The fund, the double-long ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (NYSEArca: UVXY), has been in the news since last week, when its popularity began soaring in the wake of Credit Suisse’s decision to halt creations of the VelocityShares Daily 2X VIX Short-Term ETN (NYSEArca: TVIX)—an exchange-traded note that delivers similar exposure to the VIX volatility curve as UVXY.

The decision to do a reverse split on UVXY isn’t related to the explosion of interest in the ETF, but is a function of the downward pressure on VIX futures over the past several months. UVXY was worth more than $34 a share when it came to market in October of last year, and it’s now trading at $5.60, according to Google Finance. It has lost more than half its value since the beginning of the year.

Even though UVXY often trades with a bid/ask spread of just 1 cent, that penny becomes a more conspicuous trading cost the cheaper the ETF becomes. The 1-for-6 reverse split, effective March 8 for shareholders of record as of the close on March 7, will pump up the share price about six times and cut the number of outstanding shares by about the same amount.

At today’s price, UVXY, now the only double-long exchange-traded product that’s taking in new money, would be worth more than $33 a share on a post-split basis. Continue reading

VIX Higher, SPX Higher; 30 Yr T touching 3 (percent)..Meaning??

Everything went higher today (despite the data during the last minutes into the close); stocks, bonds and fear; a somewhat unique combination of ups. When noticing today’s relatively rare direct correlation between equity market volatility (aka VIX), equity indices and “safe haven” US government bonds, option market veteran David Robbins of WallachBeth Capital says,  “The wall of worry is simply growing taller.” 

With the benchmark  barometers DJIA and SPX continuing to climb past technical and psychological barriers, and now only single digit percentage points away from all time market highs despite the still-fragile (albeit somewhat improving state of the US economy), “its always worth worrying” said Robbins, perhaps explaining the subliminal spikes noticed in outer-month VIX options, and in particular, put options.

Added Robbins, “The skew is always a good clue, and if you look at April and June VIX or VXX options, its clear that market pros are re-framing;  the risk of a market pull back increases each week the equities market goes up.  There’s always a black swan out there flapping its wings,  but its simply more expensive today to hedge that risk than it was last week.

BuyWriting Back in Vogue: Mutual Funds Warm To “CYA”

We all know that equity markets have been climbing the wall of worry for the past number of months. With both the Dow and S&P recovering to the sanguine levels not seen since the spring of 2008, covered call (buy-write) strategies within the mutual fund complex has until recently remained  a relatively untapped strategy, despite the time-tested success of many fund managers who have systematically used this style of hedged investing throughout both bull and bear market cycles.

But, “the tide seems to be turning,” according to recent coverage by Peter Chapman over at Traders Magazine, who spotlights a trend change in the course of his profiling the launch of two new covered-writing closed-end funds courtesy of Mario Gabelli’s GAMCO (” GAMCO Natural Resources, Gold & Income Trust”) and John Hancock’s  “Hedged Equity & Income Fund.” These are only two of the funds that are embracing a “CYA” strategy in the face of most market pundit predictions that the current upward trend is your friend, and should be expected to remain positive throughout the balance of 2012.

Whether the renewed interest in using the simplest of “hedging” strategies is attributable to percolating geopolitical concerns, or a need to enhance yield as interests rates continue to race to zero, or the growing consensus among market skeptics that what looks and sounds too good to be true often is (despite historical trends where markets typically rise into presidential elections), traders who have been around for more than 15 minutes  see the resurgence of institutional option-related strategies as an approach that simply makes sense.

Observed option market pro David Beth, the Pres/COO of  institutional options and ETF broker WallachBeth Capital, ” Its good [for investors] to have more options, no pun intended. The fund industry’s limited use of the most conservative option-related strategies has always been a “head-scratcher” for those who have lived through multiple market cycles over the years and always perceived that big funds are obliged to use conservative strategies.  Regardless of where one thinks the market is headed in the short or medium term, these new funds illustrate the growing recognition that systematic covered call writing can cushion downside exposure and enhance portfolio returns in both low-interest rate and stagnant market cycles; especially for funds with conservative mandates.” Continue reading

End of Week ETF Standouts – Closing Bell Friday Feb 24

The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES) outperformed other ETFs this week, up about 4.4%. Components of that ETF showing particular strength this week include shares of Exterran Holdings (EXH), up about 19% and shares of Nabors Industries Limited (NBR), up about 10.8% on the week.

And underperforming other ETFs this week is the Solar Energy ETF (KWT), down about 5.9% this week. Among components of that ETF with the weakest showing for the week were shares of Yingli Green Energy Holding (YGE), lower by about 16%, and shares of Trina Solar Limited (TSL), lower by about 13.8% on the week.

Other ETF standouts this week include the Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), outperforming this week with a 4.1% gain. And the SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN) was an underperformer, falling about 3.2% this week.

Expert ETF Trader: Liquidity Is There; Just Look Beyond the Screens

Other than the ETF market “go-go names”, one of the more commonly-voiced, and according to many, often-misguided observations regarding most ETFs is  “won’t trade it, there’s no liquidity in that name,”  or “the screens are only showing 1000 shares offered and I have to pay up 50 cents to buy a lousy 25,000 shares?!”

As a consequence, any half-smart portfolio manager often quickly (if not wrongly) concludes that the “lack of liquidity cost” is a deterrent to their positioning what is otherwise a very compelling “basket” of underlying securities.

The editors here don’t buy into the lack of liquidity notion, and after getting our hands on desk notes published today by Chris Hempstead, Head ETF Trader for WallachBeth Capital (one of the more prominent players in the ETF space), we couldn’t resist the opportunity to re-publish.

But wait, there’s more!

Tip-Toeing Into Social Media: Watch Wedbush

Whether you’re sitting inside a buy-side or a sell-side firm,  someone in your shop is talking about using social media. But, you’re compliance officer is saying  “Let’s let another shop experiment..we don’t need to be the SEC test case.”

Well, Wedbush Securities isn’t standing on ceremony. Just a few years shy of their 60th birthday, this “old-timer” isn’t letting legacy stand in its way, and is taking steps to leverage applications that have proven to change the course of history and  has launched a social media initiative offering employees a way to engage in social media conversations on platforms including Twitter, LinkedIn, and Facebook.

In an interview with Industry mag “MarketsMedia”,  Wedbush VP of Marketing Natalie Taylor said, “Through proper training and resources, we felt confident in our decision to allow our team to be ‘social’ and engage in organic communication.” But wait, there’s more!

2 More Studies Say: ETFs NOT to Blame for Market Volatility

Here’s a wake-up call to critics of the ETF world: two more unrelated and just-published research studies have acquitted the ETF industry of charges leveled by critics who have claimed ETFs are at the root of heightened market volatility.

In a newly-released report from the Investment Company Institute, which interrogated market volatility over the past 25 years, ICI’s experts (let’s presume their unbiased, OK?) concluded that ETFs have unfairly been cast as the dog wagging the tail, and accusations that “ETFs were the ‘match that ignited the Flash [Crash]’, or have in any other way been responsible for any unusual market volatility, are simply inaccurate and unjustified.

According to the report, “Heightened periods of volatility existed before ETFs (the most volatile during Black Monday ’87)”…more importantly,  “The market volatility that started before the financial crisis in mid-2007 and has continued through today has [simply] coincided with the rapid growth of the ETF market, as assets have grown from about $600 billion to more than $1 trillion.”  The report points out that “over the same time period, there was a prolonged global financial crisis that threatened to take down the international banking system and threw financial markets worldwide into turmoil.”

This report comes on the heels of a joint report issued by the SEC and the CFTC which determined that ETFs were not the cause of the May 2010 “Flash Crash”.  (Even if Editors here reserve comment on any potential conflicts these agencies might have), ICI’s report coincides with an earlier report study from Morningstar Inc., which investigated  and dismissed the notion that leveraged ETFs were causing increased turbulence late last year. The Morningstar report also pointed out that if leveraged ETFs were the cause of market volatility, the assets in the funds would rise and fall with volatility, but assets remained mostly steady from March 2009 to November 2011.

READ THE FULL STORY COURTESY OF INVESTMENT NEWS:

High Yield Bond ETFs: InFlows “Off the Wall”

In a column filed through SFGate, Bloomberg LP’s Joe Ciolli reports, “Junk Bond ETFs are drawing the biggest inflows on record from investors seeking easier access to higher-yielding assets. According to Lipper Analytics, ETFs that track junk-bond indexes have tapped $5.5 billion of investments since the beginning of this year, almost quadruple the $1.4billion during the same period of 2011.

While exchange-traded funds comprise 2 percent of the $1 trillion in U.S. corporate speculative-grade debt outstanding, they accounted for more than a third of the total $14.8 billion of inflows this year into mutual funds and ETFs that buy junk bonds.

The use of ETFs makes the market more efficient than investing in mutual funds because they trade throughout the day and give investors a “more appropriate way to tactically approach high-yield,” said Jeff Tjornehoj, head of Americas research at Denver-based Lipper, whose parent company, Thomson Reuters Corp., competes with Bloomberg LP for financial news and information.

Click here for the full story: